General Market News
US stock indices showed strong bullish momentum on May 14, 2026, with the Dow Jones breaking above 50,000 and the S&P 500 targeting 7,500. The article provides technical analysis suggesting continued upward movement across all three major indices, driven primarily by optimism around the artificial intelligence boom.
- Nasdaq 100 holding support at 29,000-29,500 with AI sector enthusiasm expected to drive further gains
- Dow Jones 30 broke above the psychologically significant 50,000 level, targeting 50,500 as it plays catch-up to other indices
- S&P 500 showing no signs of stopping its climb toward 7,500, with 7,300 identified as a major support floor
The Trump-Xi summit is expected to focus heavily on two critical tech issues: market access for U.S. tech companies in China and Beijing's control over critical minerals. Top U.S. tech executives including Jensen Huang, Elon Musk, and Tim Cook are accompanying Trump, signaling technology and commerce as top priorities amid discussions about AI chip exports and rare earth mineral supplies.
- Trump identified opening China for U.S. businesses as his 'first request' to Xi, with potential deals including Nvidia's sale of H200 AI chips to Chinese firms, though this could face fierce backlash from China hawks in Congress
- China controls 59% of global rare earths mining and 91% of refining capacity as of 2024, giving Beijing significant leverage through export controls that were used in retaliation against U.S. tariffs in 2025
- Tech executives are seeking specific market opportunities: Tesla wants full self-driving approval in China, while Apple and Meta seek deals with Chinese supply chain partners for consumer products
Kevin Warsh was confirmed as Federal Reserve chair with just 54 Senate votes, the weakest support in modern history, as he prepares to lead amid rising inflation and pressure from President Trump for rate cuts. Meanwhile, Trump met with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing to discuss Iran, Taiwan, and economic cooperation. Markets rallied on tech strength despite hot inflation data showing 6% annual gains in April.
- Warsh received only 54 confirmation votes, the lowest for any Fed chair since 1977, with just one Democrat (Sen. Fetterman) supporting him; he has called for 'regime change' at the Fed and will succeed Jerome Powell
- Trump-Xi summit addressed Iran war, Taiwan (which Xi called 'the most important issue' in bilateral relations), and AI guardrails, with Treasury Secretary Bessent emphasizing the U.S. is not seeking confrontation
- Cisco beat earnings expectations and reported $5.3 billion in AI orders year-to-date, sending shares up 6%, while beer sales fell over 6% year-over-year amid rising gas prices from the Iran conflict
Despite concerns about narrow market breadth, a Schaeffers Research analysis finds that extreme large-cap outperformance historically signals bullish outcomes. The S&P 500 recently reached all-time highs while its relative strength versus the Equal-Weighted S&P 500 fell below 0.95, a reading lower than 99% of instances since 1975. Historical data shows markets averaged gains of over 2% in one month and 18% over the following year after similar extreme divergences.
- The SPX rallied sharply over six weeks to reach all-time highs after being down nearly 8% year-to-date through late March, while the Equal-Weighted index significantly underperformed
- After the 13 prior instances when Equal-Weighted SPX relative strength dropped below 0.95, markets gained an average of 2% over one month and 18% over 12 months with 85% positive returns
- Short-term performance favors broader market rallies: at all-time highs with high equal-weight relative strength (above 1.01), the SPX averaged 1.04% gains over one month versus -0.92% when relative strength was low (below 0.98)
US stock futures pointed to another strong open on Thursday, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 poised for new records despite rising inflation concerns and Treasury yields climbing above 5%. Technology stocks, particularly those linked to artificial intelligence, continued to drive market gains as President Trump visited China to discuss improved bilateral relations with a large US business delegation including Nvidia's Jensen Huang and Tesla's Elon Musk.
- Producer price inflation rose 1.4% month-on-month, well above forecasts, prompting investors to scale back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts while Kevin Warsh prepares to formally replace Jerome Powell as Fed chair
- The Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.2% to a new peak of 26,402 while the S&P 500 rose 0.6% to 7,444, driven by AI infrastructure investments including buzz around Cerebras Systems' blockbuster IPO priced at $185 per share
- Trump's China trip with major tech CEOs provided 'market-friendly optics' as analysts noted the AI trade 'remains the main offset to broader macro caution' amid higher rates and inflation pressures
The Bank of Spain has called for stronger international cooperation and wider access to protective AI tools like Anthropic's Glasswing to combat cybersecurity risks. The central bank warned that advanced AI models such as Mythos could enable faster exploitation of software vulnerabilities and more synchronized cyberattacks across the global financial sector.
- New AI tools like Anthropic's Mythos model could sharply reduce the time between vulnerability detection and malicious exploitation, posing significant challenges to the banking industry
- Under adverse scenarios, such AI models could have negative systemic impact by enabling synchronized cyberattacks across the global financial sector and broader economy
- The Bank of Spain emphasized the need for closer collaboration between regulators, financial institutions, and technology providers to increase resilience and prevent attacks
Negotiations to prevent a strike at Inpex's Ichthys LNG facility in Australia enter their final day on Friday, with unions threatening to issue a strike notice if no agreement is reached on pay and conditions. The 9.3 million metric-ton-a-year plant near Darwin could face work stoppages as early as next Wednesday if talks fail. Any disruption would tighten global energy supplies and particularly impact Japanese utilities, which rely on Australia as their largest LNG supplier.
- Workers at the Ichthys facility rejected Inpex's previous pay deal last month, with unions claiming it fails to meet industry benchmark standards for wages and conditions
- A strike could begin as soon as next Wednesday following labor laws if notice is served Friday, potentially exacerbating tight global energy supplies
- Japan faces heightened supply risk as it heads into summer with rising air-conditioning demand, making the dispute closely watched by Japanese power and gas utilities
US stock futures rose on Wednesday, with Dow futures up 250 points, as markets extended gains following record closes for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. The rally was led by mega-cap technology stocks including Nvidia, Apple, and Alphabet, despite hotter-than-expected inflation data that reinforces expectations for prolonged restrictive Federal Reserve policy.
- S&P 500 futures gained 0.13%, Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.07%, and Dow futures climbed 260 points (0.41%) in pre-market trading
- US producer prices surged 6.0% year-over-year in April, the fastest pace since late 2022, with monthly PPI up 1.4% above expectations, complicating the Fed's rate-cut timeline
- Markets are balancing strong tech-led momentum against sticky inflation pressures, with upcoming retail sales data and Trump-Xi trade talks potentially influencing near-term sentiment
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the U.S. and China will establish a protocol for AI safety during the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing on May 14-15, 2026. Bessent emphasized that the U.S. can engage in these discussions because it maintains a technological lead over China in AI development. He also indicated that President Trump would address Taiwan issues in the coming days.
- The two countries agreed to create an AI safety protocol focused on best practices and preventing non-state actors from accessing advanced AI models
- Bessent anticipates major advances in large language models from Google's Gemini and OpenAI, while the U.S. continues restricting advanced semiconductor sales to China
- This marks the first visit by a sitting U.S. president to China since 2017, with China emphasizing Taiwan as a 'red line' issue for bilateral relations
The Senate Banking Committee is set to vote Thursday on the Clarity Act, landmark cryptocurrency legislation that would establish regulatory jurisdiction over digital assets. The bill's passage requires at least seven Democratic votes, but faces opposition over weak anti-money laundering provisions and concerns about national security risks. Both the White House and Trump support the bill, which the crypto industry spent over $119 million lobbying for during the 2024 election cycle.
- The bill would clarify whether cryptocurrencies are securities or commodities, providing legal clarity the industry says is critical for U.S. digital asset adoption and competitiveness
- Banks are fighting stablecoin provisions they claim give crypto companies unfair advantages in offering rewards, with the American Bankers Association urging member CEOs to lobby Republican committee members
- If the bill passes on party lines, prospects are weak; bipartisan support is needed for Senate passage, and failure this year could kill the legislation if Democrats win the House in November midterms
The Trump administration is considering suspending the federal gas tax to provide relief as fuel prices exceed $4.50 per gallon nationwide, up 50% since the start of the Iran war. With polling showing Trump's economic approval at just 30% and most Americans feeling financial strain, officials are scrambling for visible relief measures as hopes for a quick resolution to the conflict fade.
- Gas tax suspension would reduce prices by 18 cents per gallon, but requires congressional approval with Republican leaders remaining noncommittal
- More than six in 10 Americans report household financial impacts from higher gas prices, and only 25% believe the Iran war has been worth the cost
- U.S. oil and fuel exports have surged to records while inventories decline, raising Wall Street concerns about potential summer supply crunches that could push prices even higher
UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer faces imminent leadership challenges as Health Secretary Wes Streeting is expected to resign and launch a bid on Thursday, while Angela Rayner and Andy Burnham are also potential contenders. Bond markets are reacting to the political instability, with investors concerned that a more left-leaning replacement could increase borrowing and public spending.
- A leadership challenge requires 20% of Labour MPs (81 lawmakers) to nominate a challenger; Streeting is seen as a continuity candidate while Rayner and Burnham lean further left
- The 10-year gilt yield stood at 5.040% Thursday morning, with the 30-year at 5.759%, as investors fear higher debt under a left-leaning prime minister
- Despite positive Q1 growth data, analysts warn momentum is unlikely to sustain amid domestic political crisis, Iran war, and energy price spikes that could reignite inflation
European airlines and officials are downplaying concerns about summer jet fuel shortages despite a major supply crisis caused by the Strait of Hormuz blockade, which has doubled fuel prices and disrupted flows of roughly a fifth of global oil. The industry seeks to reassure travelers ahead of peak summer season, though the IEA warns global oil supply will not meet demand this year due to the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict.
- Jet fuel prices have surged to around $1,400 per metric ton, approximately double pre-conflict levels, as the Strait of Hormuz closure blocks about a quarter of Europe's jet fuel supplies from the Gulf region
- European airport operators increased jet fuel reserves by over 60% in April, while airlines secured alternative sources from the U.S. and Nigeria by paying premiums to offset Gulf supply disruptions
- Industry leaders including TUI, Lufthansa, and Ryanair CEOs claim supplies are secure through mid-July, though some regions like Amsterdam-Rotterdam-Antwerp show jet fuel stocks near record lows
Poland's largest e-commerce platform Allegro reported first-quarter earnings that exceeded analyst expectations and raised its 2026 outlook for international operations. The company's adjusted EBITDA grew 23.6% year-over-year to 931.8 million zlotys ($257 million), surpassing the median analyst estimate of 849 million zlotys.
- Adjusted EBITDA reached 931.8 million zlotys ($257 million), beating analyst consensus by nearly 10%
- Year-over-year earnings growth of 23.6% demonstrates strong operational momentum
- The company upgraded its 2026 international business outlook following the strong Q1 performance
SoftBank-backed LY Corp and Bain Capital have raised their takeover bid for Japanese online marketplace Kakaku.com to $4 billion, surpassing a competing offer from Swedish investment firm EQT. LY, which owns LINE messaging app and Yahoo Japan, increased its offer to 3,232 yen per share, citing the strategic value of Kakaku.com's businesses amid the rise of generative AI.
- The improved bid from LY and Bain Capital tops EQT's offer announced on Tuesday, which had already received support from major shareholders Digital Garage and KDDI holding 38.1% of Kakaku.com
- Kakaku.com operates multiple platforms including its price comparison site, restaurant review platform Tabelog, and job search service Kyujin Box
- LY justified the higher valuation by highlighting Kakaku.com's 'extremely high strategic value' during the current transformation driven by generative AI technology
LinkedIn is cutting approximately 5% of its workforce, affecting around 875 employees out of more than 17,500 full-time workers, as part of a reorganization to focus on growing areas of its business. The layoffs, announced by CEO Daniel Shapero in a memo, are not attributed to AI adoption, unlike cuts at other tech companies. Parent company Microsoft has been reducing headcount in recent years while investing heavily in AI infrastructure.
- Approximately 875 positions will be eliminated from LinkedIn's workforce of over 17,500 employees
- The cuts are part of a strategic reorganization rather than AI-driven workforce reduction, distinguishing LinkedIn from other tech companies citing automation as a reason for layoffs
- Parent company Microsoft has been conducting ongoing workforce reductions while simultaneously investing in AI infrastructure under CEO Satya Nadella's leadership
Must Read Oil Prices and the Bond Market Are Moving in Tandem. What That Means for Your Interest Rates
Oil prices hovering around $100 per barrel are driving up bond yields and borrowing costs across global markets. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield has risen to 4.47% from below 4% before the Iran conflict, pushing the average 30-year mortgage rate to 6.37%. Bond markets are trading in lockstep with oil price movements as investors demand higher rates to offset inflation risks.
- The critical 4.5% threshold on the 10-year Treasury yield is being tested, with further increases dependent on oil market developments and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz
- Bond yields are rising globally across the U.S., Germany, U.K., Canada, and Australia, making mortgages and business loans more expensive while stock markets appear to ignore these pressures
- The Federal Reserve is expected to keep rates unchanged rather than cut as previously anticipated, though some analysts believe rate cuts could resume later in the year if higher oil prices depress economic activity
U.S. stocks rallied on May 13, 2026, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hitting record highs despite a sharp surge in producer price inflation and rising bond yields. Investors focused instead on the upcoming U.S.-China summit in Beijing between Presidents Trump and Xi Jinping. The market's indifference to inflation signals comes as PPI posted its biggest monthly and annual gains since 2022.
- U.S. producer prices surged in April with the biggest gains since 2022, far exceeding expectations. The gap between PPI and CPI inflation widened to 2.2 percentage points, the largest since 2022, suggesting consumer inflation may soon breach 4%.
- Markets gained across the board: Nasdaq +1.2%, S&P 500 +0.6%, Asian markets also rose with KOSPI +3%. A weak 30-year Treasury auction showed high yields paid and very low bid-to-cover ratios.
- Kevin Warsh was confirmed as Federal Reserve chair, replacing Jerome Powell. He faces the challenge of convincing colleagues to cut rates amid the highest and fastest-rising inflation in years.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached record highs on Wednesday, driven by a rally in AI chip stocks including Nvidia and Micron, while the Dow Jones fell slightly. The gains came despite hotter-than-expected inflation data showing the Producer Price Index rose 1.4% in April, the largest monthly increase since March 2022, dampening hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts.
- S&P 500 rose 0.58% to 7,444.25 and Nasdaq gained 1.2% to 26,402.34, both hitting fresh records, while two-thirds of S&P 500 components declined
- Producer Price Index surged 1.4% in April (vs 0.5% expected) and 6% annually, reducing expectations for Fed rate cuts; Boston Fed President Collins said rate increases remain possible
- Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang joined Trump's China summit with President Xi, boosting optimism for AI chip sales in China; Morgan Stanley raised S&P 500 year-end target to 8,000
The US Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair on May 13, replacing Jerome Powell in a 54-45 party-line vote. Warsh takes over the central bank amid rising inflation and pressure from President Trump to lower interest rates, despite previously being known as an 'inflation hawk' who favored higher rates.
- Warsh will serve a four-year term as chair and 14 years on the Fed's rate-setting board, officially starting May 14 when Powell's term ends
- Only one Democrat, Senator John Fetterman of Pennsylvania, crossed party lines to vote for Warsh's confirmation
- Democrats raised concerns about Warsh's independence after he refused to answer whether Trump lost the 2020 election, calling him potentially Trump's 'sock puppet'