‘It's awful': How tariffs, soaring fuel costs and higher interest rates are squeezing American companies

CNBC | September 20, 2026 at 03:01 PM UTC
Bearish 84% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • Small manufacturers report dramatic cost spikes, with one Iowa company seeing a critical part jump from $42 to $87, forcing inventory hoarding and likely price increases to customers
  • Auto supplier profit growth fell to 4.2% from over 6% in 2021, with Spanish parts maker Grupo Antolin filing for bankruptcy protection citing tariffs, raw material costs, and supply chain disruptions
  • The Fed raised rates for the first time in three years with another hike possible, while airline fares surged 23% in August as companies with pricing power pass costs to consumers, though demand limits are emerging

AI Summary

Summary

American companies face mounting pressure from three simultaneous challenges: tariffs raising material costs, soaring fuel prices from the Iran war, and rising interest rates making inventory financing more expensive. The Federal Reserve raised rates for the first time in three years and signaled potential additional hikes to combat inflation.

Key Impacts by Sector:

Middle-market manufacturers are particularly vulnerable. Allen Eden's Original Saw Co. in Iowa saw a critical bracket's price surge from $42 to $87. The company is hoarding inventory amid supply uncertainty. Auto suppliers are severely affected—industry earnings before interest and taxes for the top 100 suppliers fell to 4.2% from over 6% in 2021. Spanish auto parts maker Grupo Antolin filed for Chapter 15 bankruptcy protection in July, citing tariffs and higher raw material costs.

Company Examples:

  • Eastman Chemical (EMN): CEO reported unprecedented speed of price increases across the industry
  • Home Depot: CFO warned that energy and raw material costs would offset $730 million in tariff refunds
  • Lucerne International: Canceled a $50 million Michigan plant, shifted from manufacturing to distribution

Market Divide:

Large corporations with substantial cash reserves and long-term debt remain insulated until the 10-year Treasury yield reaches 6% (currently ~5%). Smaller companies relying on short-term lending face immediate pressure. Airlines successfully passed fuel costs to consumers, with fares up 23% in August year-over-year, though they're cutting marginal routes.

The Fed's rate hikes may not address inflation's root causes while risking economic slowdown, creating "growing pockets of risk" across the economy.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bearish 80%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bearish 82%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 90%
Consensus Bearish 84%