Options volume surges in retail favorites as Robinhood, Tesla jump
CNBC
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September 03, 2026 at 06:04 PM UTC
Bullish
80% Confidence
Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points
- Robinhood experienced triple average daily volume with calls trading more than twice as heavily as puts, driven by Bitcoin's surge and its prediction markets business gaining traction
- Tesla and SpaceX both saw traders buying twice as many calls as puts ahead of Tesla's Cybercab event in Austin, with SpaceX reclaiming the $150 level for the first time since early July
- Implied volatility dropped sharply, with SpaceX's 30-day implied volatility in just the 4th percentile and about half its historical average since its June 12 IPO
AI Summary
Summary
Key Development: Options trading volume surged in retail-favored stocks during Thursday's session, defying September's historically weak seasonal pattern. The VIX traded below 15 as implied volatility dropped across markets.
Main Stocks and Activity:
- Robinhood (HOOD): Led bullish activity with calls outpacing puts 2-to-1, and call buying triple that of put buying on 3x average volume. The stock jumped 15.95% to $124.05, turning positive year-to-date and nearing YTD highs. Bitcoin's rally cited as a positive catalyst.
- Tesla: Ranked as the most-traded stock by options volume ahead of its Cybercab event in Austin, Texas. Traders bought twice as many calls as puts, with significant put-selling activity indicating bullish sentiment.
- SpaceX: Fourth-most traded by options volume with similar 2-to-1 call-to-put buying ratios. Stock reclaimed the $150 level—not seen since early July—while 30-day implied volatility sits at just the 4th percentile, half its historical average since going public June 12.
- Palantir: Trading in the top ten most-traded options on nearly 2x average volume with 2-to-1 call buying. A Snowflake catalyst drove momentum.
Market Implications: The aggressive retail positioning suggests renewed risk appetite and speculative activity despite seasonal headwinds. Declining volatility may be encouraging traders to deploy capital in high-beta names. According to momentum specialist Charles Moon of Prosper Trading Academy, "Retail's getting aggressive because all they need is a reason to be. It's a good sign."
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Bullish | 80% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Bullish | 75% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 85% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 80% |