Traders are piling into this international stock market that just pulled ahead of the Nasdaq

CNBC | September 02, 2026 at 07:28 PM UTC
Bullish 77% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • EWZ options volume exceeded 420,000 contracts by midday Wednesday, placing it among the top-20 traded securities in the options market alongside major U.S. stocks like Alphabet
  • Call options dominated trading with 400,000 calls versus less than 30,000 puts, and nearly $48 million of the $50 million in total premium traded was tied to call contracts
  • Implied volatility in EWZ climbed from 0.28 to 0.39, reaching the highest level since late June, suggesting traders may be capitalizing on elevated option prices through premium-collection strategies

AI Summary

Brazilian Stock Market Surges Past Nasdaq, Attracts Heavy Options Trading

Brazilian equities are experiencing a significant rally, with the iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) posting a 15% year-to-date gain that now exceeds the Nasdaq's performance. This comes after a monthslong sell-off from six-year highs reached in April.

Key Market Activity:

Options traders are demonstrating unprecedented interest in EWZ. On Wednesday, options volume surged to more than six times the 30-day average, with over 420,000 contracts traded by midday. This placed EWZ among the top-20 most-traded securities in the options market, alongside major U.S. names like Alphabet—a rare achievement for any non-U.S. equity or ETF.

Trading Breakdown:

Call options dominated activity with 400,000 calls traded versus fewer than 30,000 puts. Of the $50 million in total premium traded, approximately $48 million was tied to call contracts, with roughly $26 million likely initiated by buyers. Notably, the top 20 most-traded contracts were all calls, indicating strong bullish sentiment.

Market Drivers:

The rally appears linked to surging commodity prices and potential optimism surrounding Brazil's upcoming October general election. However, heightened volatility complicates directional interpretation. Implied volatility climbed from 0.28 to 0.39—the highest since late June—making options more expensive and suggesting some traders may be employing volatility-capture strategies rather than pure directional bets.

While significant call-selling occurred alongside buying, analysts note this isn't necessarily bearish and often indicates spread trading or volatility plays rather than outright negative positioning.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bullish 75%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bullish 68%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 90%
Consensus Bullish 77%