Economic outlook is worsening and Trump is getting blamed, CNBC survey finds
Key Points
- 47% of Americans report cutting back on essential items like food and medical care, up 6 points from April, with 60% of those earning under $30,000 reducing essential spending versus 35% of those earning over $100,000
- Trump's economic approval rating is underwater at -22 (38% approve, 60% disapprove), the worst of his political career, while 68% disapprove of his handling of inflation
- Support for military action against Iran has declined to 48% (down from 53% in April), with Trump's Iran approval at -28 and only 47% of non-MAGA Republicans supporting his handling of the issue
AI Summary
Summary: Economic Outlook Worsening as Trump Faces Blame
Key Findings
The latest CNBC All-America Economic Survey reveals deep pessimism about the U.S. economy despite a strong stock market. The poll of 1,000 adults (margin of error ±3.1%) shows 61% of Americans are pessimistic about current and future economic conditions—the highest level since December 2023.
Economic Impact on Consumers
Consumer behavior reflects significant distress:
- 47% are cutting back on essentials like food and medical care (up 6 points from April)
- 67% are reducing non-essential spending including dining and entertainment (up 5 points)
- Income disparity is stark: 60% of those earning under $30,000 are reducing essential purchases versus 35% of those earning above $100,000
Political Implications
President Trump's approval ratings remain deeply negative:
- Overall approval: 40% (59% disapprove)
- Economic handling: 38% approve, 60% disapprove (net -22, his worst ever)
- Iran war handling: 35% approve, 63% disapprove
- Inflation handling: 31% approve, 68% disapprove
However, Democrats hold only a modest 4-point advantage on congressional control preference, suggesting a divided but locked-in electorate.
Issue Rankings
Key voter concerns show partisan splits:
- Democrats lead on cost of food (7 points) and "protecting democracy" (3 points)
- Republicans lead on immigration/border security (22 points, their largest advantage)
- Cost of food ranks as the top issue across most demographics, except Republicans (immigration) and voters 18-34 (housing)
Iran War Support Declining
Support for military action against Iran dropped to 48% (from 53% in April), with Trump's approval on Iran at -28, creating divisions even within his own party.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Bearish | 80% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Bearish | 75% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bearish | 80% |
| Consensus | Bearish | 78% |