Has Inflation "Peaked?" Kevin Hincks Talks PPI, Fed Expectations & U.S.-Iran War
Schwab Network
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July 15, 2026 at 02:16 PM UTC
Bullish
95% Confidence
Watch on YouTube
Key Points
- June PPI and Core PPI data came in cooler than expected month-over-month and year-over-year, indicating easing inflationary pressures.
- New York Fed's John Williams stated that inflation has peaked and interest rates are 'well positioned,' signaling a potentially less aggressive Fed stance.
- ASML Holding (ASML) and Morgan Stanley (MS) both reported strong Q2 earnings beats, with ASML also providing robust 3Q and 2026 guidance, including significant capacity expansion plans.
- Crude oil prices remained around $80, with geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran noted.
AI Summary
The video discusses cooler-than-expected wholesale price data (PPI) for June, driven by dips in food and energy prices, leading to a more optimistic inflation outlook. A Fed official suggested inflation has peaked and rates are 'well positioned.' Futures are higher, and major companies like ASML and Morgan Stanley reported strong earnings beats.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 95% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 95% |