Has Inflation "Peaked?" Kevin Hincks Talks PPI, Fed Expectations & U.S.-Iran War

Schwab Network | July 15, 2026 at 02:16 PM UTC
Bullish 95% Confidence
Watch on YouTube

Key Points

  • June PPI and Core PPI data came in cooler than expected month-over-month and year-over-year, indicating easing inflationary pressures.
  • New York Fed's John Williams stated that inflation has peaked and interest rates are 'well positioned,' signaling a potentially less aggressive Fed stance.
  • ASML Holding (ASML) and Morgan Stanley (MS) both reported strong Q2 earnings beats, with ASML also providing robust 3Q and 2026 guidance, including significant capacity expansion plans.
  • Crude oil prices remained around $80, with geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran noted.

AI Summary

The video discusses cooler-than-expected wholesale price data (PPI) for June, driven by dips in food and energy prices, leading to a more optimistic inflation outlook. A Fed official suggested inflation has peaked and rates are 'well positioned.' Futures are higher, and major companies like ASML and Morgan Stanley reported strong earnings beats.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 95%
Consensus Bullish 95%