Dow opens higher as chip stocks slide, S&P 500 dips on Iran tensions
Key Points
- Oil prices jumped roughly 3% (WTI to $73.83, Brent to $78.52) after Iran claimed to close the Strait of Hormuz, though President Trump disputed this, raising inflation concerns ahead of Tuesday's CPI report
- Semiconductor stocks fell sharply following SK Hynix's Nasdaq debut, with Micron down 6.4% and Western Digital, Seagate falling 4-7%, spreading weakness across the chip sector
- Major banks including JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley report earnings this week, with S&P 500 companies expected to post 23.7% profit growth for Q2 amid elevated market expectations
AI Summary
Market Summary: Mixed Open Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Chip Sector Weakness
Market Performance (July 13, 2026 Open):
US markets opened mixed with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 122 points (+0.23%), while the S&P 500 fell 0.17% and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.61%. Technology stocks led losses, with the S&P 500 trading less than 1% below its early-June record high despite the pullback.
Geopolitical Tensions:
Escalating US-Iran conflict drove oil prices sharply higher after Tehran claimed to close the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy shipping route. West Texas Intermediate crude surged approximately 3% to $73.83/barrel (touching $75.08 overnight), while Brent crude gained 3% to $78.52 (reaching $79.80). This undermines last month's interim agreement and raises inflation concerns ahead of key US economic data.
Semiconductor Sector Selloff:
Chip stocks faced broad pressure following SK Hynix's Nasdaq debut. Major declines included Micron Technology (-6.4%), Western Digital, Seagate Technology, and Sandisk (each down 4-7%), plus weakness in AMD and Intel. The selloff reflects concerns about memory pricing and high-beta growth exposure ahead of earnings.
Key Catalysts This Week:
- Major bank earnings: JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo
- Additional corporate reports: Netflix, Johnson & Johnson, General Electric, UnitedHealth
- Tuesday: US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first monetary policy testimony before Congress
- S&P 500 companies expected to report 23.7% Q2 earnings growth year-over-year (per LSEG I/B/E/S)
Trading Recommendations:
Buy energy sector (XLE) on geopolitical tailwinds; sell semiconductors (SOXX) amid sector weakness and upcoming volatility.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Bearish | 78% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Bearish | 85% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bearish | 95% |
| Consensus | Bearish | 86% |