"Tale of Two Chinas:" Hot AI Trade Meets Cooling Consumer Activity

Schwab Network | June 26, 2026 at 12:16 AM UTC
Bullish 80% Confidence
Watch on YouTube

Key Points

  • Chinese tech market shows divergence: onshore chipmakers are up, offshore internet stocks are down.
  • Offshore internet stocks (like KWEB) are trading at an average of 12 times earnings, the lowest in four years, indicating undervaluation.
  • The AI narrative has disproportionately benefited chipmakers, while global markets are not fully valuing software's importance to AI.
  • Chinese internet companies are making significant AI investments, but investors are currently punishing the spenders and rewarding the recipients of CapEx.
  • Regulatory actions in China, focused on curbing excessive competition, are seen as potentially positive for long-term margins of internet companies.

AI Summary

The video discusses a 'tale of two Chinas' in the stock market: onshore chipmakers are soaring due to AI exuberance, while offshore-listed internet software stocks are declining due to sluggish consumer activity and investor fatigue. Despite heavy AI investments by internet giants, the market is currently punishing these spenders and favoring hardware suppliers. The guest believes Chinese internet stocks are significantly undervalued.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 80%
Consensus Bullish 80%