US Inflation Climbs as Consumers Spent More in May

Bloomberg Markets and Finance | June 25, 2026 at 02:15 PM UTC
Neutral 90% Confidence
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Key Points

  • US May Personal Spending fell 0.7% M/M, against an estimated rise of 0.6%.
  • US May Core PCE Price Index rose 0.3% M/M (in line with estimates) and 4.1% Y/Y (in line with estimates).
  • US May Headline PCE Price Index rose 0.4% M/M (slightly below est. +0.5%) and 4.1% Y/Y (in line with est.).
  • US Jobless Claims came in at 215,000 for the June 20 week, below the estimated 225,000.
  • Equity futures (S&P, Nasdaq) saw gains, while bond yields initially rose then fell at the front end of the curve.

AI Summary

The video analyzes May's personal spending and PCE inflation data, revealing a larger-than-expected fall in personal spending and a slightly softer headline PCE. Despite these small downside surprises, core PCE and year-over-year inflation remain elevated, reinforcing the Fed's hawkish stance. Equity futures rose, while bond yields saw mixed reactions.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Neutral 90%
Consensus Neutral 90%