Traders are loving this cheap way to make big bets against chip stocks

CNBC | June 23, 2026 at 04:16 PM UTC
Bearish 78% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • Options volume in SOXS exceeded three times the daily average, with calls outpacing puts by more than six-to-one as over 84,000 calls were bought in early trading
  • The most popular trades were in-the-money 4-strike and 3.5-strike calls expiring Friday, while the largest single trade was selling 300 puts at the 13-strike expiring January 2028 for $327,000
  • Leveraged ETFs linked to chip stocks now generate daily rebalancing flows regularly exceeding $20 billion, according to Barclays analysis

AI Summary

Summary

Key Development:

Following a 7% decline in the semiconductor sector after hitting all-time highs, traders are aggressively betting on further downside through the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (SOXS), a leveraged ETF that delivers 300% of the inverse daily performance of the NYSE Semiconductor Index.

Trading Activity:

  • Options volume on SOXS exceeded three times the monthly average
  • Calls outpaced puts by more than 6-to-1
  • Over 84,000 calls purchased versus approximately 15,000 puts in early Tuesday trading
  • The fund surged 24% on the day
  • Eight of the top 10 contracts by volume were calls

Popular Positions:

  • In-the-money 4-strike and 3.5-strike calls expiring Friday were most heavily traded
  • The largest single trade involved selling 300 of the 13-strike puts expiring January 2028, generating $327,000
  • The put sale represents a "synthetic" long position strategy, allowing traders to gain exposure at lower cost than buying shares directly

Market Context:

  • SOXS trades at just over $4 per share, making it an inexpensive vehicle for bearish semiconductor bets
  • Leveraged ETFs have gained significant popularity during the chip stock rally, with daily rebalancing flows regularly exceeding $20 billion, according to Barclays
  • Many traders appear to be hedging positions through spreads that cap potential upside

Implication:

The heavy options activity signals growing trader conviction that the semiconductor sector's decline may continue, with many using low-cost leveraged instruments to amplify potential returns from chip stock weakness.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bearish 80%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bearish 70%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 85%
Consensus Bearish 78%