Jed Ellerbroek on Fed's "Bid for Time" & Why Mag 7's AI Buildout is "Justified"

Schwab Network | June 20, 2026 at 02:01 PM UTC
Bullish 80% Confidence
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Key Points

  • The Fed's focus on inflation and Warsh's hawkish tone, with task forces seen as a 'bid for time' to delay rate hikes until after November mid-term elections.
  • Relentless demand for semiconductor and AI data center infrastructure stocks, with mega-cap tech companies like Google and Amazon significantly increasing capex.
  • Recovery in aerospace and airlines, with specific picks like Heico (HEI) and TransDigm (TDG) benefiting from increased travel and defense spending.
  • Apollo Global Management (APO) is favored in financials due to its lower exposure to software and high-net-worth advisors, strong fundraising, and projected 20% annual earnings growth.

AI Summary

Jed Ellerbroek discusses the Fed's hawkish stance and the use of task forces as a 'bid for time' to delay rate hikes until after the mid-term elections. He highlights strong fundamental demand in AI data center buildout, leading to increased capital expenditure by mega-cap tech companies. Additionally, he sees recovery in aerospace and airlines, and favors Apollo Global Management in financials.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 80%
Consensus Bullish 80%