Jed Ellerbroek on Fed's "Bid for Time" & Why Mag 7's AI Buildout is "Justified"
Schwab Network
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June 20, 2026 at 02:01 PM UTC
Bullish
80% Confidence
Watch on YouTube
Key Points
- The Fed's focus on inflation and Warsh's hawkish tone, with task forces seen as a 'bid for time' to delay rate hikes until after November mid-term elections.
- Relentless demand for semiconductor and AI data center infrastructure stocks, with mega-cap tech companies like Google and Amazon significantly increasing capex.
- Recovery in aerospace and airlines, with specific picks like Heico (HEI) and TransDigm (TDG) benefiting from increased travel and defense spending.
- Apollo Global Management (APO) is favored in financials due to its lower exposure to software and high-net-worth advisors, strong fundraising, and projected 20% annual earnings growth.
AI Summary
Jed Ellerbroek discusses the Fed's hawkish stance and the use of task forces as a 'bid for time' to delay rate hikes until after the mid-term elections. He highlights strong fundamental demand in AI data center buildout, leading to increased capital expenditure by mega-cap tech companies. Additionally, he sees recovery in aerospace and airlines, and favors Apollo Global Management in financials.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 80% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 80% |