Kevin Warsh sworn in as Federal Reserve chair; ‘I want him to be totally independent,' Trump says

New York Post | May 22, 2026 at 05:55 PM UTC
Bearish 93% Confidence Majority Agreement
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Key Points

  • The Senate confirmed Warsh 55-45 on May 13, with only two Democrats supporting him; Powell will remain on the Fed board through January 2028 in a break from precedent
  • Bond traders are betting Warsh may need to raise interest rates before year-end despite Trump's demands for cuts, as Fed Governor Waller warned of intensifying inflation pressures
  • Warsh, a former Morgan Stanley banker and youngest Fed governor in modern history at age 35 in 2006, has criticized the Fed for keeping policy too loose and promised to shrink its balance sheet

AI Summary

Summary: Kevin Warsh Sworn In as Federal Reserve Chair

Key Developments:

Kevin Warsh, 56, was sworn in Friday as the new Federal Reserve Chairman, succeeding Jerome Powell who will remain on the Fed board through January 2028. The Senate confirmed Warsh 55-45 on May 13, with only two Democrats supporting his nomination.

Independence Questions:

President Trump emphasized Warsh's independence at the White House ceremony, stating "I want Kevin to be totally independent. Don't look at me, don't look at anybody." This follows years of Trump criticizing Powell for not lowering rates quickly enough. Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas administered the oath.

Economic Challenges:

Warsh inherits significant challenges:

  • Inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target
  • Bond traders anticipate potential rate hikes before year-end, reversing earlier cut expectations
  • Markets repriced Friday after Fed Governor Christopher Waller warned of possible additional tightening
  • Ongoing market jitters and economic uncertainty

Warsh's Position & Background:

The former Morgan Stanley banker has criticized the Fed for keeping policy "too loose for too long," allowing inflation to spiral. He opposes massive bond-buying programs and pledges to shrink the Fed's balance sheet. During confirmation hearings, he stated "inflation [is] the Fed's choice," arguing policymakers have tools to restrain prices.

Warsh previously served as Fed Governor from 2006-2011, appointed by President Bush at age 35—the youngest in modern Fed history. He played a key role during the 2008 financial crisis.

Market Implications:

The transition signals potential policy shift toward tighter monetary conditions despite presidential pressure for rate cuts, creating uncertainty for traders navigating inflation concerns.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bearish 92%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Neutral 92%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 95%
Consensus Bearish 93%