Why AI layoffs aren't paying off for stocks

CNBC Television | May 18, 2026 at 05:45 PM UTC
Bearish 85% Confidence
Watch on YouTube

Key Points

  • Over 112,000 US jobs have been lost to AI since the start of 2025, with an MIT study suggesting AI could replace 11.7% of the US workforce, potentially saving $1.2 trillion in wages.
  • CNBC analyzed 23 publicly-listed firms with AI-driven layoffs, finding 52% traded in the red since their layoff announcements (as of May 8, 202X).
  • The average stock decline for companies with AI-driven layoffs was 28%, compared to only 27% of S&P 500 companies trading in the red since ChatGPT's launch in November 2022.

AI Summary

The video analyzes the stock performance of companies that announced AI-driven layoffs, finding that over half of these firms have seen their stock prices decline. Despite companies framing these cuts as efficiency boosts, investors appear unconvinced, with an average stock loss of 28% for affected companies, significantly underperforming the broader S&P 500 since ChatGPT's launch.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 85%
Consensus Bearish 85%