China's SMIC says foreign clients shifting orders back to China
Key Points
- SMIC's co-CEO says many overseas customers are shifting orders to China as foreign foundries redirect capacity to AI-related products, reducing availability for legacy foundry products
- The company expects depreciation expenses to rise about 30% year-over-year as it added 9,000 12-inch equivalent wafers of capacity in Q1, though utilization rate was 93%
- SMIC's expansion into advanced 7-nanometre manufacturing faces constraints from U.S. export controls, but executives see capacity squeeze for non-AI products as a long-term trend
AI Summary
Summary: China's SMIC Reports Increased Foreign Orders Amid AI-Driven Capacity Constraints
Key Developments:
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC), China's leading contract chipmaker, reported increasing orders from overseas clients as the global AI boom strains production capacity at foreign foundries. Co-CEO Zhao Haijun announced that international customers are redirecting orders to China due to limited available capacity elsewhere.
Critical Figures:
- Q1 utilization rate: 93% (slightly down from Q4)
- Depreciation expenses expected to rise ~30% year-over-year
- Q1 depreciation/amortization up 26% YoY
- Added 9,000 12-inch equivalent wafers of capacity in Q1
- Shipped 2.5 million 8-inch equivalent wafers (unchanged from Q4)
- Revenue breakdown: China 89%, U.S. 9%
Market Context:
The capacity shift stems from semiconductor companies redirecting factory resources toward AI-related products, memory, and high-bandwidth applications, reducing availability for legacy foundry products. SMIC is aggressively expanding capacity to capture demand from Chinese chip designers, though its advanced 7-nanometre manufacturing faces U.S. export control constraints.
Outlook:
Zhao indicated this represents a long-term trend, with growing AI chip and edge application demand expected to further squeeze capacity for non-AI products. Q1 utilization appeared lower due to smartphone makers cutting orders over memory chip shortage concerns and new fab operations increasing total capacity.
Market Implications:
SMIC's positioning as a beneficiary of capacity constraints at global foundries could strengthen its competitive position, particularly for non-AI legacy products, despite ongoing U.S. technology restrictions limiting its advanced chipmaking capabilities.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Bullish | 80% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Bullish | 72% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 75% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 75% |