OpenAI Limits Microsoft Revenue-Sharing to $38 Billion, Says The Information

Reuters | May 12, 2026 at 01:35 AM UTC
Bearish 74% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • The $38 billion cap represents a defined limit on how much OpenAI will pay Microsoft through their revenue-sharing agreement
  • The Information reported this development based on a source with knowledge of the arrangement between the companies
  • Reuters was unable to immediately verify the report independently

AI Summary

Summary

OpenAI has reportedly capped revenue-sharing payments to Microsoft at $38 billion, according to The Information, citing a person familiar with the arrangement. The report, published May 11, has not been independently verified by Reuters.

Key Details:

  • Payment cap set at $38 billion for Microsoft's share of OpenAI revenue
  • Information comes from a single source with knowledge of the agreement
  • Reuters unable to immediately verify the arrangement

Market Implications:

This development marks a significant milestone in the OpenAI-Microsoft partnership, which has been central to both companies' AI strategies. Microsoft has invested heavily in OpenAI, estimated at over $13 billion, and has integrated OpenAI's technology across its product portfolio, including Azure cloud services, Office 365, and Bing search.

The $38 billion cap suggests OpenAI is establishing boundaries on its revenue-sharing obligations, potentially signaling:

  • OpenAI's growing confidence in its revenue-generating capabilities
  • A restructuring of the partnership terms as OpenAI matures
  • Possible limitations on Microsoft's future returns from the investment

For investors, this could indicate OpenAI is preparing to retain more revenue for itself, possibly ahead of further funding rounds or an eventual public offering. For Microsoft shareholders, the cap provides clarity on maximum revenue exposure from the partnership, though it may also limit upside potential from OpenAI's growth.

The arrangement's specifics, including timeframe and conditions, remain unclear pending verification and additional details.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bearish 80%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bearish 68%
Consensus Bearish 74%