Home sales barely budge in April as spring buying season off to disappointing start

New York Post | May 11, 2026 at 06:02 PM UTC
Bearish 81% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • Home sales fell short of the 4.12 million pace economists expected and remained flat compared to April 2023, continuing a slump that began in 2022 when mortgage rates climbed from pandemic lows
  • The median US home price rose 0.9% year-over-year to $417,700, an all-time high for April, marking 34 consecutive months of annual price increases
  • Housing inventory increased to 1.47 million unsold homes (up 5.8% from March), the most for April since 2019, but still 30% below the roughly 2 million homes needed for a balanced market

AI Summary

Summary: US Home Sales Stagnate in Disappointing Spring Buying Season

Key Figures:

US existing home sales rose just 0.2% month-over-month in April to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.02 million units, falling short of economist expectations of 4.12 million, according to the National Association of Realtors (NAR). Sales remained flat year-over-year compared to April 2023.

Market Performance:

Home sales have hovered near the 4-million annual pace since 2023, significantly below the historic norm of 5.2 million. The median US home price reached $417,700 in April, up 0.9% year-over-year and an all-time high for the month based on data since 1999. Prices have increased for 34 consecutive months.

Market Conditions:

The housing market has been sluggish since 2022 when mortgage rates began rising from pandemic lows. In April, 30-year mortgage rates ranged from 5.98% to 6.38%, with recent fluctuations creating inflation concerns among buyers.

Inventory levels showed modest improvement with 1.47 million unsold homes at month-end—up 5.8% from March and 1.4% year-over-year. This represents the highest April inventory since 2019 (1.83 million) but remains well below the pre-pandemic norm of approximately 2 million homes. The current 4.4-month supply still falls short of the balanced market range of 5-6 months.

Outlook:

NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun stated no sales increase is predicted compared to last year's spring season, noting that inventory needs to grow by 30% to normalize market conditions. The combination of elevated prices, fluctuating mortgage rates, and limited inventory continues to constrain buyer activity during what is traditionally the market's busiest period.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bearish 80%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bearish 78%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 85%
Consensus Bearish 81%