Fed's Goolsbee: Inflation isn't stalling, it's getting worse

Bloomberg Markets and Finance | May 08, 2026 at 09:00 PM UTC
Bearish 95% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Raising interest rates to combat supply-side inflation risks demand destruction, as monetary policy cannot address underlying supply issues.
  • Stagflationary shocks, characterized by destroyed employment and rising prices, are among the worst challenges for a central bank.
  • Inflation is currently 'getting worse' and not merely stalled, while the job market has remained stable for over a year.

AI Summary

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee discusses the challenges of stagflationary shocks, where supply-side issues simultaneously destroy employment and drive up prices. He notes that traditional monetary policy tools are ineffective against such shocks and expresses concern that inflation is 'getting worse,' not just stalling, despite a stable job market. This situation necessitates a serious look at the inflation side.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 95%
Consensus Bearish 95%