Buying chip stocks is getting pricey. Traders don't care

CNBC | April 24, 2026 at 07:07 PM UTC
Bullish 78% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • Memory stocks like Micron and Western Digital show notably bullish options activity, with calls outnumbering puts 2:1 and total call premiums at least four times larger than puts
  • Nvidia is an exception with lower implied volatility than the SMH ETF, trading about $3 below October all-time highs; one trader bought 7,500 May 15 $230-strike calls for $413,000, betting on a 13% rise ahead of May 20 earnings
  • Rising implied volatility alongside price increases indicates traders are willing to pay premium prices for options exposure despite the sector's already substantial 30%+ monthly gain

AI Summary

Summary

Key Market Movement:

The semiconductor sector is experiencing a powerful rally, gaining ground in 17 of the past 18 trading sessions. The sector ETF tracking semiconductors surged over 30% this month, including a 5% jump on Friday alone.

Catalyst & Company Performance:

Intel's earnings report triggered the latest rally, with the stock surging 20.9% to $80.74. Competitor Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) rose in tandem, adding 15%.

Options Trading Activity:

Despite rising costs—with implied volatility increasing alongside prices—traders continue aggressively buying call options. Memory chip stocks including Micron and Western Digital show particularly bullish sentiment, with calls outnumbering puts roughly 2:1 and total call premiums paid at least four times larger than puts.

Nvidia Exception:

Nvidia presents a unique case as the sector leader. Trading at $208.21 (up 4.29%), the stock remains approximately $3 below October's all-time highs. Implied volatility for Nvidia is lower than the broader semiconductor ETF, reflecting more subdued price movement. However, call volumes still run three times higher than puts. One significant trade involved 7,500 May 15 $230-strike calls—a $413,000 bet on a 13% upside move ahead of Nvidia's May 20 earnings report.

Market Implications:

The persistent rally and expensive options premiums signal strong bullish conviction in semiconductors, driven primarily by AI data center demand. Traders appear willing to pay elevated prices to participate in the momentum, particularly in AI-exposed memory stocks.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bullish 75%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bullish 75%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 85%
Consensus Bullish 78%