Merck and Rivals Interested in Inhibrx Cancer Drug Deal Linked to Keytruda: Sources
Key Points
- INBRX-106 could be valued at over $8 billion if trials confirm it can boost Keytruda's patient response rates from 30% to 45%, according to preliminary data from ongoing combination trials
- The deal is strategically important for Merck as Keytruda, which generated over $30 billion in annual sales (nearly half of Merck's 2025 revenue), faces patent expiration in 2028
- Inhibrx plans to disclose interim trial results next month and is also seeking FDA approval for ozekibart, a second cancer drug valued at approximately $1 billion that showed 52% tumor shrinkage in Ewing sarcoma patients
AI Summary
Market Summary: Merck and Rivals Eye Inhibrx Cancer Drug Deal
Key Development
San Diego-based Inhibrx Biosciences has attracted interest from major pharmaceutical companies including Merck & Co, Germany's Merck KGaA, and Japan's Ono Pharmaceutical for its experimental cancer treatment INBRX-106, valued at over $8 billion.
Deal Structure
Inhibrx is exploring a joint spin-off of INBRX-106 and a second experimental cancer drug (ozekibart), with combined potential value exceeding $9 billion contingent on successful clinical trial results. Talks are in early stages and a deal is likely several months away.
Critical Drug Details
INBRX-106 (valued at $8+ billion):
- Designed to boost efficacy of Merck's blockbuster Keytruda immunotherapy
- Preliminary trials show improvement in overall patient response rates to 45% versus 30% with Keytruda alone
- Interim results expected next month
- Being tested in advanced head and neck cancer patients
Ozekibart (valued at ~$1 billion):
- Received FDA fast track and orphan drug designations
- Showed 52% tumor shrinkage in Ewing sarcoma studies
- FDA approval filing expected imminently
Strategic Implications
INBRX-106 is particularly attractive to Merck as Keytruda—which generated over $30 billion in 2025 sales (nearly half of Merck's global revenue)—faces patent expiration in 2028. However, other major players including Eli Lilly, AstraZeneca, Pfizer, and J&J are also considered potential buyers seeking to strengthen immuno-oncology portfolios.
Stifel analyst Dara Azar initiated coverage with a "buy" rating and $150 price target, citing the drug's potential to enhance Keytruda's effectiveness for a broader patient base.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Bullish | 82% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Bullish | 72% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 85% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 79% |