Iran conflict 'more inflation shock, than growth shock': Goldman

CNBC International TV | April 17, 2026 at 03:32 AM UTC
Bullish 85% Confidence
Watch on YouTube

Key Points

  • The conflict is perceived as an inflation shock, not a growth shock, influencing central bank rate hike strategies.
  • Equity markets are underpinned by robust underlying profit growth, with the US expecting roughly 12% year-over-year profit growth.
  • Opportunities lie in energy, commodity-related areas, and banks, while consumer-related sectors face risks from rising input costs and dampened margins.

AI Summary

Goldman Sachs' Peter Oppenheimer views the recent conflict as an inflation shock rather than a growth shock, influencing central bank rate hike strategies. He anticipates continued strong underlying profit growth for equities, particularly in tech, energy, and commodity-related sectors, supporting market performance despite potential headwinds for consumer-related industries.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 85%
Consensus Bullish 85%