Iran conflict 'more inflation shock, than growth shock': Goldman
CNBC International TV
|
April 17, 2026 at 03:32 AM UTC
Bullish
85% Confidence
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Key Points
- The conflict is perceived as an inflation shock, not a growth shock, influencing central bank rate hike strategies.
- Equity markets are underpinned by robust underlying profit growth, with the US expecting roughly 12% year-over-year profit growth.
- Opportunities lie in energy, commodity-related areas, and banks, while consumer-related sectors face risks from rising input costs and dampened margins.
AI Summary
Goldman Sachs' Peter Oppenheimer views the recent conflict as an inflation shock rather than a growth shock, influencing central bank rate hike strategies. He anticipates continued strong underlying profit growth for equities, particularly in tech, energy, and commodity-related sectors, supporting market performance despite potential headwinds for consumer-related industries.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 85% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 85% |