A 2% inflation target is a myth, says JPMorgan's Bob Michele

Bloomberg Markets and Finance | April 09, 2026 at 07:46 PM UTC
Bullish 90% Confidence
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Key Points

  • The 2% inflation target is considered a 'myth' by markets, with 2.5% seen as the 'new 2%'.
  • Current inflation (headline and core) is projected at 3-3.5% for this year, with real GDP at 2.25%.
  • The US economy is believed to be able to absorb inflation around 3%, and the Fed is expected to 'sit on their hands' rather than act.

AI Summary

Bob Michele of JPMorgan argues that the 2% inflation target is a myth, with 2.5% being a more realistic and comfortable level for the US economy. He anticipates inflation to hover around 3-3.5% this year, which the economy can absorb, and expects the Fed to remain on hold, 'sitting on their hands,' as they are now more balanced on labor market concerns.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 90%
Consensus Bullish 90%