The risk-reward is quite good for stocks now, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee

CNBC Television | April 06, 2026 at 11:31 AM UTC
Bullish 85% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Equities are 90-95% through the selloff and are likely to finish April higher.
  • Still sees S&P 500 reaching 7,700 by year's end.
  • War-time spending (estimated $30B-$100B/month) acts as economic stimulus, outweighing the impact of rising oil prices.
  • Private credit is worsening and expected to create losses for holders.
  • Energy stocks and cryptocurrencies (Ethereum, Bitcoin) have been strong performers since the war began.

AI Summary

Fundstrat's Tom Lee maintains a bullish outlook for equities, suggesting the market has absorbed 90-95% of the selloff related to geopolitical events. He anticipates a higher finish for April and an S&P 500 target of 7,700 by year-end, driven by economic stimulus from defense spending and historical market resilience during conflicts.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 85%
Consensus Bullish 85%