The risk-reward is quite good for stocks now, says Fundstrat's Tom Lee
CNBC Television
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April 06, 2026 at 11:31 AM UTC
Bullish
85% Confidence
Watch on YouTube
Key Points
- Equities are 90-95% through the selloff and are likely to finish April higher.
- Still sees S&P 500 reaching 7,700 by year's end.
- War-time spending (estimated $30B-$100B/month) acts as economic stimulus, outweighing the impact of rising oil prices.
- Private credit is worsening and expected to create losses for holders.
- Energy stocks and cryptocurrencies (Ethereum, Bitcoin) have been strong performers since the war began.
AI Summary
Fundstrat's Tom Lee maintains a bullish outlook for equities, suggesting the market has absorbed 90-95% of the selloff related to geopolitical events. He anticipates a higher finish for April and an S&P 500 target of 7,700 by year-end, driven by economic stimulus from defense spending and historical market resilience during conflicts.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 85% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 85% |