What SPX & VIX Options Activity Signals in Stock Market
Schwab Network
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April 02, 2026 at 04:15 PM UTC
Neutral
90% Confidence
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Key Points
- S&P 500, Nasdaq-100, and Dow Jones are all below their 200-day simple moving averages.
- Crude oil (WTI) is up 10% today, nearing a closing high, but equity market weakness is not making new lows.
- Options activity in VIX shows hedging has largely been done, with VIX around 26-27, indicating elevated but not extreme fear.
AI Summary
The market is in a downtrend with major indices below their 200-day simple moving averages, but current price action is relatively benign. Money is flowing into safe havens like gold, treasuries, and mega-cap tech. Options activity suggests hedging has largely been completed, and the market is grappling with geopolitical uncertainty and the question of whether capitulation has been reached.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Neutral | 90% |
| Consensus | Neutral | 90% |