50 Stocks to Buy (or Avoid) in April

Schaeffers Research | March 31, 2026 at 07:19 PM UTC
Neutral 79% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • Hasbro (HAS) has finished April higher in 9 of the last 10 years with 6.1% average returns, recently pulling back to $90 support near its 80-day moving average after hitting a six-year high of $106.98 in February
  • Lumentum (LITE) averages -7.5% April returns over the past decade, finishing positive only twice, with 16 of 21 analyst ratings at 'buy' or 'strong buy' suggesting downgrades may be overdue
  • Consumer cyclicals (Hasbro, Constellation Brands, McDonald's, Booking, Marriott) dominate best performers while tech and telecom stocks (Intel, Verizon, ON Semiconductor) lead underperformers

AI Summary

Summary

Market Context: As markets enter April and Q2 2026, geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran have created volatility, prompting investors to rely on quantitative data for trading decisions.

Key Analysis: Schaeffer's Research analyzed S&P 500 stocks' April performance over the past 10 years, identifying 25 top performers and 25 underperformers for the month.

Top Performer - Hasbro (HAS):

  • Leads the list with an average April return of 6.1%
  • Positive performance in 9 of the last 10 years (90% success rate)
  • Trading at $91.16, a similar gain would push shares near $100
  • Recently pulled back to $90, finding support at its 80-day moving average
  • Positioned near its February 12 six-year high of $106.98

Worst Performer - Lumentum Holdings (LITE):

  • Averages -7.5% April return over the past decade
  • Finished positive only twice in 10 years
  • Currently trading at $688.80; projected decline would drag shares to approximately $637
  • Hit record high of $808 on March 25 but formed a bearish double-top pattern
  • 16 of 21 analysts rate it "buy" or "strong buy," suggesting downgrades may be overdue
  • Schaeffer's Volatility Score: 87 out of 100

Sector Trends: Consumer cyclicals (McDonald's, Constellation Brands, Booking, Marriott) dominate top performers, while tech/telecom stocks (Intel, Verizon, ON Semiconductor) lead underperformers.

Investment Implication: Historical seasonality data provides strategic entry/exit points amid current market uncertainty.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Neutral 80%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Neutral 78%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Neutral 80%
Consensus Neutral 79%