50 Stocks to Buy (or Avoid) in April
Key Points
- Hasbro (HAS) has finished April higher in 9 of the last 10 years with 6.1% average returns, recently pulling back to $90 support near its 80-day moving average after hitting a six-year high of $106.98 in February
- Lumentum (LITE) averages -7.5% April returns over the past decade, finishing positive only twice, with 16 of 21 analyst ratings at 'buy' or 'strong buy' suggesting downgrades may be overdue
- Consumer cyclicals (Hasbro, Constellation Brands, McDonald's, Booking, Marriott) dominate best performers while tech and telecom stocks (Intel, Verizon, ON Semiconductor) lead underperformers
AI Summary
Summary
Market Context: As markets enter April and Q2 2026, geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and Iran have created volatility, prompting investors to rely on quantitative data for trading decisions.
Key Analysis: Schaeffer's Research analyzed S&P 500 stocks' April performance over the past 10 years, identifying 25 top performers and 25 underperformers for the month.
Top Performer - Hasbro (HAS):
- Leads the list with an average April return of 6.1%
- Positive performance in 9 of the last 10 years (90% success rate)
- Trading at $91.16, a similar gain would push shares near $100
- Recently pulled back to $90, finding support at its 80-day moving average
- Positioned near its February 12 six-year high of $106.98
Worst Performer - Lumentum Holdings (LITE):
- Averages -7.5% April return over the past decade
- Finished positive only twice in 10 years
- Currently trading at $688.80; projected decline would drag shares to approximately $637
- Hit record high of $808 on March 25 but formed a bearish double-top pattern
- 16 of 21 analysts rate it "buy" or "strong buy," suggesting downgrades may be overdue
- Schaeffer's Volatility Score: 87 out of 100
Sector Trends: Consumer cyclicals (McDonald's, Constellation Brands, Booking, Marriott) dominate top performers, while tech/telecom stocks (Intel, Verizon, ON Semiconductor) lead underperformers.
Investment Implication: Historical seasonality data provides strategic entry/exit points amid current market uncertainty.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Neutral | 80% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Neutral | 78% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Neutral | 80% |
| Consensus | Neutral | 79% |