Kevin Hincks: U.S. Economy "Still Doing Quite Well"

Schwab Network | March 30, 2026 at 01:47 PM UTC
Bullish 95% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Equity futures are higher to start the week, with S&P 500, NASDAQ-100, Dow Jones, and Russell 2000 all showing gains.
  • Geopolitical developments, particularly regarding US-Iran talks and crude oil, are identified as key market drivers, influencing overall market sentiment and inflation discussions.
  • Crude oil prices remain above $100, contributing to uncertainty but also seeing some volatility dissipate.
  • Upcoming labor data, including JOLTS, ADP Employment, Challenger Job-Cut, Jobless Claims, and the March Jobs Report, will be in focus this week.
  • Hincks expresses strong skepticism about the Federal Reserve raising rates by year-end, calling such predictions 'absurd'.

AI Summary

Kevin Hincks discusses the current state of financial markets, highlighting that futures are higher to begin the trading week despite recent sell-offs in March. He attributes this to positive comments on US-Iran negotiations and dissipating uncertainty around crude oil. Hincks maintains a positive outlook on the US economy, while dismissing the likelihood of Fed rate hikes this year, and emphasizes the importance of geopolitical events and upcoming labor data.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 95%
Consensus Bullish 95%