Risk Aversion Has Been 'Increasing Dramatically', Schwab's Aguilar Says

Bloomberg Markets and Finance | March 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM UTC
Neutral 90% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Client risk aversion has increased dramatically over the last few weeks due to war risks, gas prices, and inflation.
  • Aguilar recommends clients be well-diversified and risk-controlled, avoiding extreme positions due to wide potential outcomes.
  • The fixed income market is aggressively pricing in inflation, unlike 2022 when the economy was weaker, and markets disagree with the Fed's dot plots on rate cuts.

AI Summary

Schwab Asset Management's Omar Aguilar notes a dramatic increase in client risk aversion due to lingering war risks, inflation, and potential economic deceleration. He advises clients to be well-diversified and risk-controlled, highlighting the market's aggressive pricing of inflation and divergence from the Fed's rate cut expectations.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Neutral 90%
Consensus Neutral 90%