Powell says U.S. economy is not experiencing stagflation

CNBC Television | March 18, 2026 at 10:32 PM UTC
Neutral 95% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Powell asserts the U.S. economy is not experiencing stagflation.
  • He defines 1970s stagflation by double-digit unemployment and super-high inflation (misery index).
  • Current unemployment is close to longer-run normal, and inflation is only one percentage point above that, indicating a less severe situation than historical stagflation.

AI Summary

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell states that the U.S. economy is not currently experiencing stagflation, distinguishing it from the severe conditions of the 1970s. He highlights that current unemployment is near long-run normal, and inflation, while elevated, is not at the double-digit levels seen during historical stagflation.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Neutral 95%
Consensus Neutral 95%