US Consumer Spending Barely Rises in January

Bloomberg Markets and Finance | March 13, 2026 at 01:30 PM UTC
Neutral 75% Confidence
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Key Points

  • US Jan. Core PCE Price Index rose 0.4% M/M and 3.1% Y/Y, meeting estimates.
  • US Jan. Personal Spending increased 0.4% M/M, slightly stronger than the +0.3% estimate.
  • US 4Q GDP was revised down significantly to +0.7% annual pace from an estimated +1.4%, with personal consumption falling to 2.0% from 2.4%.

AI Summary

The report covers January's economic data, including the Core PCE Price Index rising 0.4% month-over-month and 3.1% year-over-year, aligning with estimates. Personal spending increased 0.4% month-over-month, slightly above expectations. However, US Q4 GDP was significantly revised down to a 0.7% annual pace from an estimated 1.4%, and personal consumption growth also fell.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Neutral 75%
Consensus Neutral 75%