San Francisco Fed Pres. Daly on February jobs report: No one month of data is decisional

CNBC Television | March 06, 2026 at 03:15 PM UTC
Neutral 90% Confidence
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Key Points

  • February ADP non-farm payrolls unexpectedly cut 92,000 jobs, significantly below the +50,000 estimate.
  • Daly states that 'no one month of data is decisional' but acknowledges the labor market is in a 'low hire, low fire state' and 'a little weaker than we have seen'.
  • She notes inflation is 'printing above target' and oil prices are rising, creating a 'balance of risks' for the Fed's dual mandate.

AI Summary

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly discusses the February ADP jobs report, noting that a single month's data isn't decisive. She highlights a 'low hire, low fire' labor market that's weaker than previously seen, alongside inflation printing above target and rising oil prices. Daly emphasizes a 'balance of risks' calculation for monetary policy, making it 'hard to hike right now'.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Neutral 90%
Consensus Neutral 90%