San Francisco Fed Pres. Daly on February jobs report: No one month of data is decisional
CNBC Television
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March 06, 2026 at 03:15 PM UTC
Neutral
90% Confidence
Watch on YouTube
Key Points
- February ADP non-farm payrolls unexpectedly cut 92,000 jobs, significantly below the +50,000 estimate.
- Daly states that 'no one month of data is decisional' but acknowledges the labor market is in a 'low hire, low fire state' and 'a little weaker than we have seen'.
- She notes inflation is 'printing above target' and oil prices are rising, creating a 'balance of risks' for the Fed's dual mandate.
AI Summary
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly discusses the February ADP jobs report, noting that a single month's data isn't decisive. She highlights a 'low hire, low fire' labor market that's weaker than previously seen, alongside inflation printing above target and rising oil prices. Daly emphasizes a 'balance of risks' calculation for monetary policy, making it 'hard to hike right now'.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Neutral | 90% |
| Consensus | Neutral | 90% |