Private companies added 63,000 jobs in February, January revised to just 11,000 additions: ADP

CNBC Television | March 04, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC
Neutral 80% Confidence
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Key Points

  • February private payrolls increased by 63,000, beating the 48,000 estimate.
  • Job gains were concentrated in Education/Health Services (+58K) and Construction (+19K), with small businesses (<50 employees) adding +60K jobs.
  • Professional/Business Services (-30K) and Manufacturing (-5K) experienced job losses.
  • Median annual pay growth for job-stayers was 4.5% and for job-changers was 6.3%, with the pay premium for switching jobs being the lowest on record.
  • The labor market is characterized as 'inert' with low turnover, and AI's impact on job displacement is not yet evident in the data, even in AI-exposed sectors like information services.

AI Summary

The February ADP private payroll report showed a gain of 63,000 jobs, exceeding the street's estimate of 48,000, marking the best month for job gains since July last year. Gains were primarily in education/health services and construction, with small businesses leading job creation. However, professional/business services and manufacturing saw declines, and the labor market is described as 'inert' with low pay premiums for job changers.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Neutral 80%
Consensus Neutral 80%