Private companies added 63,000 jobs in February, January revised to just 11,000 additions: ADP
CNBC Television
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March 04, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC
Neutral
80% Confidence
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Key Points
- February private payrolls increased by 63,000, beating the 48,000 estimate.
- Job gains were concentrated in Education/Health Services (+58K) and Construction (+19K), with small businesses (<50 employees) adding +60K jobs.
- Professional/Business Services (-30K) and Manufacturing (-5K) experienced job losses.
- Median annual pay growth for job-stayers was 4.5% and for job-changers was 6.3%, with the pay premium for switching jobs being the lowest on record.
- The labor market is characterized as 'inert' with low turnover, and AI's impact on job displacement is not yet evident in the data, even in AI-exposed sectors like information services.
AI Summary
The February ADP private payroll report showed a gain of 63,000 jobs, exceeding the street's estimate of 48,000, marking the best month for job gains since July last year. Gains were primarily in education/health services and construction, with small businesses leading job creation. However, professional/business services and manufacturing saw declines, and the labor market is described as 'inert' with low pay premiums for job changers.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Neutral | 80% |
| Consensus | Neutral | 80% |