Nasdaq 100: Sellers Take Control as Tech Stocks Drag US Indices Today – Forecast & Analysis

FXEmpire | February 26, 2026 at 06:41 PM UTC
Bearish 82% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • Technical resistance formed at the 50-day moving average (25,456) and 200-day moving average (24,510.75), with the index trading below the mid-point pivot at 24,983.50, indicating continued selling pressure
  • C3.ai plunged 20% after issuing weak sales guidance and announcing a 26% workforce reduction, while Trade Desk fell 5% on disappointing revenue forecasts
  • Big banks including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs and Citigroup each rose nearly 1%, and energy stocks climbed 0.9% as crude oil prices reversed earlier losses to gain over 1%

AI Summary

Market Summary: Tech Selloff Drives US Indices Lower

Key Market Movements:

The Nasdaq Composite led Thursday's decline, falling 1.53% to 22,796.76, while the S&P 500 dropped 0.87% to 6,885.05. The Dow Jones Industrial Average showed relative resilience, slipping just 0.23% to 49,369.88.

Technical Analysis:

March E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures failed to break above the critical 50-day moving average at 25,456.00, with key resistance levels at 25,411.75 (long-term 50%) and 25,294.50 (intermediate-term 50%). The index now trades between the 50-day MA and 200-day MA at 24,510.75, with the mid-point at 24,983.50 serving as a directional pivot. Current positioning below this pivot indicates sustained selling pressure.

Sector Performance:

Tech and communication services sectors suffered the steepest losses. However, financials bucked the trend with a 0.8% gain, while energy stocks climbed 0.9% following crude oil's 1% rebound.

Individual Movers:

  • Winners: Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup each rose nearly 1%. J.M. Smucker surged 6% after beating Q3 expectations and reaching a board deal with Elliott Investment Management. Celsius Holdings gained 7.3% on strong Q4 revenue.
  • Losers: C3.ai plummeted 20% after announcing weak sales guidance and a 26% workforce reduction. Trade Desk fell 5% on disappointing Q1 revenue guidance.

Market Context:

February has seen volatile trading as investor sentiment toward AI and tech stocks wavered, driving rotation into "Old Economy" blue chips. Investors are monitoring U.S.-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva, which could impact crude oil and equity markets heading into the weekend.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bearish 80%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bearish 78%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 90%
Consensus Bearish 82%