Trump to deliver State of the Union address as voters sour on his economy
CNBC
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February 24, 2026 at 12:34 PM UTC
Neutral
75% Confidence
Majority Agreement
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Key Points
- 57% of respondents in a recent poll said they most wanted Trump to address the economy in his speech, while only 13% prioritized immigration
- Trump's economic approval is underwater with 57% of voters disapproving of his handling of the economy, and Democrats hold a 4.8-point lead in generic congressional ballot polling
- Democratic Gov. Abigail Spanberger of Virginia will deliver the official rebuttal, focusing on rising costs and concerns about executive overreach on immigration enforcement
AI Summary
Summary: Trump State of the Union Amid Economic Concerns
Key Event: President Donald Trump delivered his State of the Union address Tuesday night facing declining public approval on economic issues, with the economy expected to dominate his remarks.
Polling Data:
- 57% of respondents want Trump to focus on the economy in his address
- 57% of voters disapprove of his economic handling (recent poll)
- Trump is underwater by 13 points in approval ratings
- Democrats hold a 4.8-point lead in generic congressional ballot ahead of 2026 midterms
- Immigration ranked distant second at only 13% priority
Major Challenges:
- High prices for everyday goods remain the administration's biggest problem
- Supreme Court recently overturned Trump's authority to issue broad tariffs—a cornerstone of his economic platform
- Midterm elections loom less than nine months away, threatening Republican control of Washington
Trump's Economic Defense:
- Touted prescription drug price reductions and launch of online drug site
- Claims grocery prices, airfares, hotels, car payments, and rent have declined
- Republicans promoting tax cuts from party-line "one big beautiful bill"
- Administration shifting affordability blame to Democrats
Political Response:
- Democratic Gov. Abigail Spanberger of Virginia will deliver official rebuttal, focusing on costs and immigration enforcement concerns
- Progressive Democrats, including Sens. Murphy and Markey, boycotting speech for alternative "People's State of the Union" event
- House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries urged members to show "silent defiance" if attending
Market Implications: Economic messaging and policy direction remain critical as voter sentiment shifts, potentially impacting legislative priorities and market stability ahead of midterms.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Neutral | 72% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Bearish | 70% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Neutral | 85% |
| Consensus | Neutral | 75% |