Trump to deliver State of the Union address as voters sour on his economy

CNBC | February 24, 2026 at 12:34 PM UTC
Neutral 75% Confidence Majority Agreement
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Key Points

  • 57% of respondents in a recent poll said they most wanted Trump to address the economy in his speech, while only 13% prioritized immigration
  • Trump's economic approval is underwater with 57% of voters disapproving of his handling of the economy, and Democrats hold a 4.8-point lead in generic congressional ballot polling
  • Democratic Gov. Abigail Spanberger of Virginia will deliver the official rebuttal, focusing on rising costs and concerns about executive overreach on immigration enforcement

AI Summary

Summary: Trump State of the Union Amid Economic Concerns

Key Event: President Donald Trump delivered his State of the Union address Tuesday night facing declining public approval on economic issues, with the economy expected to dominate his remarks.

Polling Data:

  • 57% of respondents want Trump to focus on the economy in his address
  • 57% of voters disapprove of his economic handling (recent poll)
  • Trump is underwater by 13 points in approval ratings
  • Democrats hold a 4.8-point lead in generic congressional ballot ahead of 2026 midterms
  • Immigration ranked distant second at only 13% priority

Major Challenges:

  • High prices for everyday goods remain the administration's biggest problem
  • Supreme Court recently overturned Trump's authority to issue broad tariffs—a cornerstone of his economic platform
  • Midterm elections loom less than nine months away, threatening Republican control of Washington

Trump's Economic Defense:

  • Touted prescription drug price reductions and launch of online drug site
  • Claims grocery prices, airfares, hotels, car payments, and rent have declined
  • Republicans promoting tax cuts from party-line "one big beautiful bill"
  • Administration shifting affordability blame to Democrats

Political Response:

  • Democratic Gov. Abigail Spanberger of Virginia will deliver official rebuttal, focusing on costs and immigration enforcement concerns
  • Progressive Democrats, including Sens. Murphy and Markey, boycotting speech for alternative "People's State of the Union" event
  • House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries urged members to show "silent defiance" if attending

Market Implications: Economic messaging and policy direction remain critical as voter sentiment shifts, potentially impacting legislative priorities and market stability ahead of midterms.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Neutral 72%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bearish 70%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Neutral 85%
Consensus Neutral 75%