What's the next major catalyst for Japanese stocks? Goldman Sachs discusses

CNBC International TV | February 19, 2026 at 09:31 AM UTC
Bullish 85% Confidence
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Key Points

  • Goldman Sachs expects increased foreign flows, particularly from US dollar-denominated investors, into the Japanese market.
  • The upcoming US-Japan summit between Prime Minister Takaichi and President Trump is identified as a major catalyst for sectors like defense, reindustrialization, factory automation, and shipbuilding.
  • Japan's market, specifically the Nikkei 225, has shown strong outperformance year-to-date in dollar terms compared to US indices like the S&P and Nasdaq.
  • Japanese corporates have been significant buyers of their own stock, and Japan's industrial and robotics strengths position it favorably against AI-related disruption, attracting long-term foreign investment.

AI Summary

Goldman Sachs maintains an 'overweight' allocation to Japan, anticipating increased foreign investment driven by strategic US-Japan cooperation in defense, reindustrialization, and factory automation. The Japanese market has outperformed the US on a dollar-adjusted basis and is seen as a relatively safer haven from AI disruption.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 85%
Consensus Bullish 85%