Housing Data & Durable Goods Show Strong Marks, Keep Eye on FOMC Minutes
Schwab Network
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February 18, 2026 at 02:45 PM UTC
Bullish
90% Confidence
Watch on YouTube
Key Points
- MBA mortgage applications composite was up 2.8%, driven by a 7.1% jump in refinances, while purchases were down 2.7%.
- MBA 30-year mortgage rate slightly decreased to 6.17% from 6.21%.
- December durable goods orders were down 1.4% (better than -1.8% estimate), and core durable goods orders (excluding transportation) were up 0.9% (better than 0.3% estimate).
- December housing starts rose to 1.404 million (beating 1.310 million estimate) and building permits increased to 1.448 million (beating 1.400 million estimate).
- January FOMC minutes are scheduled for release today at 2 PM ET, with market participants looking for nuances regarding future easing probabilities.
AI Summary
The video discusses recent economic data, highlighting strength in housing and durable goods orders. Mortgage refinances saw a significant jump, and housing starts and permits exceeded expectations. Durable goods orders, while down overall, were better than anticipated, especially core orders. The upcoming FOMC minutes are also noted as a key event for market participants.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 90% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 90% |