Julian Emanuel Sees FOMO Driving Market Staples ‘Screaming Higher'
Bloomberg Markets and Finance
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February 12, 2026 at 03:46 PM UTC
Bullish
90% Confidence
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Key Points
- The typical ingredients for a bull market's end (recession, Fed hiking rates, long-end pressure, widespread investor FOMO in stocks) are not evident.
- Current economic data, such as a strong jobs report and 'sedate' US 10-year yields, do not support a recessionary outlook or aggressive Fed tightening.
- While value has outperformed and staples are 'screaming higher' due to FOMO, this FOMO is concentrated in areas like gold/silver, not broad equities, and financials are underperforming, indicating a nuanced market driven by AI disruption rather than a broad market top.
AI Summary
Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI's Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist, argues that the hallmarks typically signaling the end of a bull market are not currently present. He points to a strong jobs report, stable US 10-year yields, and a lack of 'true investor FOMO' in stocks, suggesting continued upside ahead for the market driven by an 'AI disruption trade'.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 90% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 90% |