Julian Emanuel Sees FOMO Driving Market Staples ‘Screaming Higher'

Bloomberg Markets and Finance | February 12, 2026 at 03:46 PM UTC
Bullish 90% Confidence
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Key Points

  • The typical ingredients for a bull market's end (recession, Fed hiking rates, long-end pressure, widespread investor FOMO in stocks) are not evident.
  • Current economic data, such as a strong jobs report and 'sedate' US 10-year yields, do not support a recessionary outlook or aggressive Fed tightening.
  • While value has outperformed and staples are 'screaming higher' due to FOMO, this FOMO is concentrated in areas like gold/silver, not broad equities, and financials are underperforming, indicating a nuanced market driven by AI disruption rather than a broad market top.

AI Summary

Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI's Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist, argues that the hallmarks typically signaling the end of a bull market are not currently present. He points to a strong jobs report, stable US 10-year yields, and a lack of 'true investor FOMO' in stocks, suggesting continued upside ahead for the market driven by an 'AI disruption trade'.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 90%
Consensus Bullish 90%