S&P500 and Nasdaq 100: Premarket Futures Slip as Traders Await Jobs and CPI Forecast
Key Points
- Wednesday's delayed jobs report expects 55,000 new jobs (down from a weak 22,000 private-payroll print), with outcomes likely to influence Federal Reserve rate expectations and near-term market sentiment.
- Friday's CPI data is forecast at 2.5% annual increase; a cooler reading could support risk assets while a hotter number may reignite inflation concerns after recent interest-rate repricing.
- The March E-mini S&P 500 futures contract is testing its 50-day moving average at 6934.55, with a sustained break above 6980.25 needed to signal true breakout momentum toward the record high at 7043.00.
AI Summary
Market Summary: U.S. Futures Decline Ahead of Critical Economic Data
Key Market Movements
U.S. stock futures slipped in premarket trading Monday (February 9, 2026), with S&P 500 futures down 0.23%, Nasdaq 100 futures declining 0.45%, and Dow futures falling 0.07% as of 11:39 GMT. The pullback follows Friday's strong rally that pushed the Dow above 50,000 for the first time.
Tech Sector Recovery Questions
Tech stocks showed signs of life Friday after an eight-day losing streak, with the software sector ETF gaining 3.5%. Bitcoin recovered above $70,000 after a sharp decline earlier in the week. However, analysts remain cautious about sustainability, noting software stocks entered bear-market territory two weeks ago and have struggled to maintain gains beyond one or two sessions.
Critical Data Releases This Week
Wednesday's Jobs Report: Delayed due to government shutdown, expectations call for 55,000 new jobs, following a disappointing 22,000 private-payroll figure. This data-dependent Federal Reserve pivot point could significantly impact rate expectations.
Friday's CPI Report: Consensus forecasts a 2.5% annual increase. The inflation reading, also postponed by the shutdown, remains crucial for risk asset sentiment and monetary policy direction.
Corporate Earnings
Coca-Cola and Ford Motor report Tuesday, potentially signaling consumer resilience and industrial demand strength—areas outperforming high-growth sectors recently.
Technical Analysis
The March E-mini S&P 500 futures currently straddle the critical 50-day moving average at 6,934.55. A sustained break above faces resistance at 6,980.25, with the record high at 7,043.00 the ultimate target. Failure to hold could push the index negative for the year below 6,892.50.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Neutral | 80% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Neutral | 85% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Neutral | 95% |
| Consensus | Neutral | 86% |