LVMH Sales Rise Boosted by China Recovery
Key Points
- Fourth-quarter sales of 22.7 billion euros beat expectations (1% growth vs. forecasted 0.3% decline), with watches and jewelry up 8% but fashion and leather down 3%
- Annual operating profit declined 9% with margins pressured by currency moves (over half the decline), U.S. tariffs on alcohol, and record gold prices increasing jewelry import costs
- Chinese domestic sales rose in the quarter confirming recovery, while weaker dollar led to 2% decline in European sales as U.S. tourists spent less; CEO Arnault expressed caution about the year ahead
AI Summary
LVMH Sales Rise Boosted by China Recovery - Summary
Key Performance Metrics:
LVMH reported Q4 2025 sales of €22.7 billion ($27.1 billion), up 1% on a like-for-like basis, beating analyst expectations of a 0.3% decline. However, annual operating profit fell 9%, with margins significantly pressured by multiple headwinds.
Company & Sector Performance:
The world's largest luxury group, owner of Louis Vuitton and Tiffany, showed mixed divisional results. Watches and jewelry sales surged 8%, exceeding forecasts, while the critical fashion and leather division—which generates most profits—declined 3% on a currency-adjusted basis, meeting expectations.
China Recovery:
Domestic Chinese sales returned to growth in Q4, confirming a recovery LVMH has signaled for months. Chinese consumers, including tourists abroad, represent approximately one-third of the company's fashion and leather sales according to UBS. Strategic investments include a high-performing ship-shaped Louis Vuitton flagship store in Shanghai and a new Dior store in Beijing.
Margin Pressures:
Multiple factors compressed margins: currency effects accounted for over half the profit decline, U.S. tariffs impacted alcohol exports, and record gold prices increased jewelry import costs. A weaker dollar also reduced U.S. tourist spending in Europe.
Regional Sales:
Asia (including China) sales rose 1%, U.S. sales increased 1%, while European sales fell 2% due to decreased American tourist spending.
Market Outlook:
CEO Bernard Arnault expressed caution for 2026, citing geopolitical crises, economic uncertainty, and domestic tax policies. The company plans to limit costs and expenses. Barclays analysts suggested results "could bring a bit more prudence to the sector," despite recent positive surprises from competitors.
Model Analysis Breakdown
| Model | Sentiment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-5-mini | Bullish | 82% |
| Claude 4.5 Haiku | Neutral | 78% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash | Bullish | 90% |
| Consensus | Bullish | 83% |