India to Cut Car Tariffs to 40% in EU Trade Deal

Reuters | January 26, 2026 at 08:48 AM UTC
Bullish 85% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • India will immediately slash tariffs to 40% for approximately 200,000 imported combustion-engine cars annually priced over 15,000 euros, eventually lowering to 10%, benefiting European automakers like Volkswagen, Mercedes-Benz, BMW, and Renault
  • Battery electric vehicles will see no tariff reductions for five years to protect domestic investments by Mahindra and Tata Motors in India's nascent EV sector
  • European automakers currently hold less than 4% of India's market, which is dominated by Suzuki and local brands with two-thirds share, but the market is projected to grow to 6 million units annually by 2030

AI Summary

Summary: India to Cut Car Tariffs to 40% in EU Trade Deal

India and the European Union are set to announce completion of trade negotiations on Tuesday for a comprehensive free trade agreement, dubbed "the mother of all deals." The centerpiece includes India slashing automotive import tariffs from current levels of 70-110% to 40% immediately, with further reductions to 10% over time.

Key Details:

  • Initial tariff cuts apply to approximately 200,000 combustion-engine vehicles annually priced above €15,000 ($17,739)
  • Electric vehicles are excluded from tariff reductions for the first five years to protect domestic manufacturers like Mahindra & Mahindra and Tata Motors
  • After five years, EVs will receive similar duty cuts

Market Context:

India is the world's third-largest car market by sales, behind the U.S. and China, with expectations to reach 6 million units annually by 2030. Currently, European automakers hold less than 4% market share, while Suzuki and domestic brands Mahindra and Tata control two-thirds of the market.

Primary Beneficiaries:

The tariff reductions will benefit European manufacturers including Volkswagen, Renault, Stellantis, Mercedes-Benz, and BMW, allowing them to test broader product portfolios at competitive prices before committing to expanded local manufacturing.

Broader Trade Implications:

The agreement will expand bilateral trade and potentially boost Indian exports of textiles and jewelry, which have been impacted by 50% U.S. tariffs since late August. The move represents India's most aggressive automotive sector liberalization to date, addressing longstanding criticism from industry executives including Tesla's Elon Musk.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bullish 80%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bullish 82%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bullish 95%
Consensus Bullish 85%