Gold's Record Rally Continues, Supported By 'Sell America' Trade

Investors Business Daily | January 21, 2026 at 05:19 PM UTC
Neutral 84% Confidence Majority Agreement
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Key Points

  • Gold gained 4.3% over three days, while silver rose to $95 per ounce (up 2.5% over three days), with other precious metals like platinum and palladium also seeing demand growth
  • The 'sell America' trade triggered a spike in the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.3% (highest since August) and weakness in the U.S. Dollar Index, which fell from 99.32 to 98.60
  • Central bank purchases, expectations of easier monetary policy, and elevated geopolitical risks continue supporting gold's momentum as investors seek safe-haven alternatives to U.S. assets

AI Summary

Summary: Gold Reaches Record Highs Amid "Sell America" Trade

Key Market Movements:

Gold surged to a record high of $4,898 per ounce on Wednesday, gaining 4.3% over three days and approaching the psychologically significant $5,000 level. The SPDR Gold ETF (GLD) advanced approximately 2%. Silver also rallied, trading around $93.70 per ounce after briefly exceeding $95 on Tuesday, up 2.5% over three days.

Market Drivers:

The precious metals rally reflects a "flight to safety" triggered by President Trump's aggressive tariff rhetoric and geopolitical tensions at the World Economic Forum in Davos. Analysts describe the movement as a "sell America" trade, with investors rotating out of U.S. assets. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly topped 4.3%—its highest since August—before declining as bond buying resumed. The U.S. Dollar Index fell to 98.60 from 99.32.

Expert Outlook:

Yardeni Research projects year-end gold prices between $5,000-$6,000, citing expectations of easier monetary policy, geopolitical risks, and central bank purchases. Bitget CEO Gracy Chen expects gold to find support around $4,700 before potentially accelerating toward $5,000. Analysts note industrial metals including platinum and palladium are also seeing increased demand.

Market Context:

Contributing factors include concerns over Federal Reserve independence, multiple geopolitical conflicts, NATO alliance uncertainty, and Trump's Greenland ambitions. David Morrison of FCA characterized recent pullbacks as "corrective rather than trend-breaking," suggesting the supportive backdrop for precious metals remains intact. Equity markets slumped amid the broader risk-off sentiment.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bullish 80%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bullish 82%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 90%
Consensus Neutral 84%