Fed Chair Powell under criminal probe by federal prosecutors: Report

CNBC | January 12, 2026 at 12:36 AM UTC
Bearish 94% Confidence Unanimous Agreement
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Key Points

  • The criminal probe was reported by The New York Times based on information from officials familiar with the investigation
  • No details have been released regarding the specific allegations or focus of the criminal investigation
  • This marks a highly unusual situation involving the chairman of the Federal Reserve, the institution responsible for U.S. monetary policy

AI Summary

Federal Reserve Chairman Powell Under Criminal Investigation

Key Development:

Federal prosecutors have launched a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, according to a New York Times report published Sunday evening, citing officials with knowledge of the matter.

Critical Details:

  • The investigation represents an unprecedented development involving the head of the U.S. central bank
  • This is breaking news with limited details currently available
  • No specific charges, allegations, or investigation scope have been disclosed at this time
  • The report is based on anonymous sources briefed on the matter

Market Implications:

This development carries significant potential ramifications for financial markets:

  • Policy Uncertainty: Questions about Powell's leadership stability could create uncertainty around Fed monetary policy direction
  • Market Volatility: News of this nature typically triggers volatility in equity, bond, and currency markets
  • Dollar Impact: Investigation of the Fed Chair could pressure the U.S. dollar
  • Rate Expectations: Markets may reassess interest rate trajectory depending on investigation outcomes
  • Confidence Concerns: Potential erosion of confidence in Federal Reserve independence and leadership

Institutional Impact:

  • Federal Reserve credibility and independence may face scrutiny
  • Potential leadership transition concerns if investigation escalates
  • Questions about continuity of current monetary policy stance

Next Steps:

Investors should monitor for:

  • Additional details on investigation scope and allegations
  • Official statements from the Federal Reserve or Department of Justice
  • Market reaction when trading opens
  • Potential impact on upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decisions

This remains a developing story requiring close attention given Powell's central role in U.S. monetary policy and broader financial market stability.

Model Analysis Breakdown

Model Sentiment Confidence
GPT-5-mini Bearish 90%
Claude 4.5 Haiku Bearish 95%
Gemini 2.5 Flash Bearish 98%
Consensus Bearish 94%